NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MIL
Points 112.7 114.8
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.3 39.9
Points From Free Throws 19.3 20.1
Shooting PHI MIL
Field Goals Made 40.6 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 85.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.8 36.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 19.3 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 25.8
Free Throw % 82.0% 78.0%
Ball Control PHI MIL
Rebounds 48.0 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.1
Turnovers 9.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.5
Steals 6.8 5.1
Fouls 18.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MIL
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 100.0
% of Possessions with PHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.6%
Turnover 9.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MIL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 23.5%