NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points 107.0 117.3
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 53.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 46.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.4
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made 39.3 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 88.3
Field Goal % 42.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 15.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.0
Free Throw % 82.0% 79.1%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 48.9 54.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 41.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 13.0
Turnovers 9.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 7.6
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 16.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 101.2
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 35.6%
Player Fouled 14.2% 16.7%
Turnover 9.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 26.9%