NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI BOS
Points 105.9 119.5
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 46.5
Points From Free Throws 16.7 18.8
Shooting PHI BOS
Field Goals Made 38.8 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 93.8 87.4
Field Goal % 41.3% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 58.8 46.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 15.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 16.7 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.2
Free Throw % 82.5% 81.0%
Ball Control PHI BOS
Rebounds 47.8 54.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.4 42.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 12.5
Turnovers 9.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 7.5
Steals 6.3 5.1
Fouls 17.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI BOS
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 101.1
% of Possessions with PHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 35.6%
Player Fouled 14.6% 17.3%
Turnover 9.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI BOS
Shot Blocked 8.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 26.7%