NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MEM
Points 113.9 104.5
Total Points   218.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 48.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 37.1
Points From Free Throws 20.0 18.5
Shooting PHI MEM
Field Goals Made 40.5 36.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 86.5
Field Goal % 46.2% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 24.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 20.0 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 24.1
Free Throw % 82.0% 76.6%
Ball Control PHI MEM
Rebounds 50.7 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 14.1
Turnovers 12.1 14.3
Blocked Shots 7.8 7.2
Steals 7.9 6.4
Fouls 18.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MEM
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.1 100.2
% of Possessions with PHI MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.3%
Turnover 12.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MEM
Shot Blocked 8.6% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 27.1%