NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MIA
Points 108.5 107.3
Total Points   215.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.2 35.0
Points From Free Throws 17.7 19.5
Shooting PHI MIA
Field Goals Made 39.2 38.1
Field Goals Attempted 85.4 83.5
Field Goal % 45.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 17.7 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.9
Free Throw % 82.1% 81.9%
Ball Control PHI MIA
Rebounds 47.3 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.9
Turnovers 11.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.0
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 18.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MIA
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.0 97.1
% of Possessions with PHI MIA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 29.3%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.9%
Turnover 11.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MIA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.1%