NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI NY
Points 111.1 111.8
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.1 37.8
Points From Free Throws 18.7 19.1
Shooting PHI NY
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 87.3
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 53.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 18.7 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 24.7
Free Throw % 82.1% 77.4%
Ball Control PHI NY
Rebounds 46.4 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 15.9
Turnovers 10.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.5
Steals 6.2 5.6
Fouls 18.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI NY
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 101.8
% of Possessions with PHI NY
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 29.4%
Player Fouled 16.3% 18.7%
Turnover 10.9% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI NY
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 31.9%