NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI IND
Points 116.9 119.5
Total Points   236.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 65.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 35.8
Points From Free Throws 23.5 18.0
Shooting PHI IND
Field Goals Made 41.8 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 90.0
Field Goal % 47.0% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.8 32.8
2 Pointers Attempted 61.1 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 23.5 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.6 23.3
Free Throw % 82.0% 77.5%
Ball Control PHI IND
Rebounds 48.3 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.4
Turnovers 10.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.1 7.0
Steals 6.3 5.6
Fouls 18.3 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI IND
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 103.1
% of Possessions with PHI IND
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.4% 17.8%
Turnover 10.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI IND
Shot Blocked 8.0% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 26.2%