NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI HOU
Points 114.8 112.7
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 36.4
Points From Free Throws 22.8 20.4
Shooting PHI HOU
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 89.2
Field Goal % 46.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 22.8 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 27.8 26.6
Free Throw % 82.0% 76.8%
Ball Control PHI HOU
Rebounds 50.0 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 14.5
Turnovers 11.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.7 5.5
Steals 7.0 5.9
Fouls 19.1 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI HOU
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 104.3
% of Possessions with PHI HOU
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.5%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.8%
Turnover 10.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI HOU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.0%