NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI HOU
Points 114.7 113.0
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.2 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 36.2
Points From Free Throws 22.9 20.5
Shooting PHI HOU
Field Goals Made 40.0 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 89.2
Field Goal % 45.8% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 54.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 22.9 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 28.0 26.7
Free Throw % 82.1% 76.8%
Ball Control PHI HOU
Rebounds 50.0 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 14.3
Turnovers 11.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 6.7 5.7
Steals 6.9 5.9
Fouls 19.1 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI HOU
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 104.3
% of Possessions with PHI HOU
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 29.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 18.8%
Turnover 10.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI HOU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 27.7%