NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL PHI
Points 114.7 112.4
Total Points   227.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 56.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 36.9
Points From Free Throws 19.9 19.3
Shooting MIL PHI
Field Goals Made 40.8 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 90.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 49.2 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 19.9 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 23.6
Free Throw % 78.2% 81.8%
Ball Control MIL PHI
Rebounds 50.6 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.6 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 12.0
Turnovers 12.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.2
Steals 5.1 6.6
Fouls 17.0 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL PHI
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 103.4
% of Possessions with MIL PHI
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 29.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 16.8%
Turnover 11.9% 9.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL PHI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 23.2%