NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL CHI
Points 117.3 112.9
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.2 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 47.3 35.0
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.6
Shooting MIL CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.4 91.4
Field Goal % 48.4% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.6 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.8 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 41.7 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 20.9
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.3%
Ball Control MIL CHI
Rebounds 49.3 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.7
Turnovers 11.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.1
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 17.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL CHI
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 103.5
% of Possessions with MIL CHI
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.8%
Turnover 11.6% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL CHI
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 22.9%