NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL CLE
Points 114.2 111.8
Total Points   226.0
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.1 39.7
Points From Free Throws 17.6 15.8
Shooting MIL CLE
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 88.7
Field Goal % 48.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.1 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 37.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.6 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.8
Free Throw % 78.4% 76.2%
Ball Control MIL CLE
Rebounds 48.9 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.6
Turnovers 11.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.7
Steals 6.4 6.3
Fouls 17.6 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL CLE
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 100.6
% of Possessions with MIL CLE
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 32.9%
Player Fouled 16.0% 17.5%
Turnover 11.5% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 21.2%