NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL MEM
Points 117.8 106.7
Total Points   224.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.6 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 44.4 38.8
Points From Free Throws 18.8 16.6
Shooting MIL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 90.1
Field Goal % 49.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 47.3 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 21.7
Free Throw % 78.0% 76.6%
Ball Control MIL MEM
Rebounds 51.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.3
Turnovers 13.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.2
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 17.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL MEM
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 102.4
% of Possessions with MIL MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 32.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.9%
Turnover 12.7% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 22.8%