NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL ATL
Points 125.1 116.9
Total Points   242.0
Points From 2-Pointers 60.2 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 46.2 41.2
Points From Free Throws 18.6 18.1
Shooting MIL ATL
Field Goals Made 45.5 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 92.9
Field Goal % 51.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.1 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 61.3% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.4 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.6 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 23.2
Free Throw % 78.0% 78.3%
Ball Control MIL ATL
Rebounds 49.7 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 13.0
Turnovers 11.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.7
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 17.6 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL ATL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 106.3
% of Possessions with MIL ATL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.9%
Turnover 11.4% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL ATL
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 24.6%