NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL NY
Points 114.8 113.3
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 55.3 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 42.3 40.6
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.1
Shooting MIL NY
Field Goals Made 41.7 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.4 90.5
Field Goal % 48.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 48.3 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.1
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.4%
Ball Control MIL NY
Rebounds 47.9 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 14.0
Turnovers 11.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.8
Steals 5.3 6.2
Fouls 17.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL NY
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 103.4
% of Possessions with MIL NY
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 31.8%
Player Fouled 16.7% 17.3%
Turnover 11.4% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL NY
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 27.1%