NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL LAL
Points 118.6 116.9
Total Points   235.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 63.6
Points From 3-Pointers 45.7 35.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 18.3
Shooting MIL LAL
Field Goals Made 44.0 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 87.8
Field Goal % 47.9% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 56.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 40.2 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 23.6
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.6%
Ball Control MIL LAL
Rebounds 49.1 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.5
Turnovers 11.2 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.2
Steals 6.6 6.1
Fouls 18.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL LAL
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 101.2
% of Possessions with MIL LAL
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 27.6%
Player Fouled 13.9% 17.6%
Turnover 10.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL LAL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 18.1%