NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL BK
Points 116.2 109.9
Total Points   226.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 39.7
Points From Free Throws 17.9 16.3
Shooting MIL BK
Field Goals Made 42.1 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 90.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 21.4
Free Throw % 78.0% 76.0%
Ball Control MIL BK
Rebounds 50.8 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 40.5 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.2
Turnovers 10.9 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.2
Steals 5.6 5.7
Fouls 16.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL BK
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 102.9
% of Possessions with MIL BK
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 32.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.8%
Turnover 10.8% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL BK
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 23.2%