NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DEN
Points 112.5 115.0
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 65.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 33.9
Points From Free Throws 18.9 15.6
Shooting MIL DEN
Field Goals Made 40.8 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 90.8
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 32.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 18.9 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 20.3
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.0%
Ball Control MIL DEN
Rebounds 47.9 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.6
Turnovers 10.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 5.6 5.8
Fouls 16.7 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DEN
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 102.4
% of Possessions with MIL DEN
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.6%
Turnover 10.3% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DEN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 23.6%