NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL IND
Points 120.9 121.7
Total Points   242.6
Points From 2-Pointers 65.0 67.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 38.4
Points From Free Throws 21.7 16.2
Shooting MIL IND
Field Goals Made 43.9 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.6 93.5
Field Goal % 50.1% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.5 33.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 21.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 21.0
Free Throw % 78.1% 77.3%
Ball Control MIL IND
Rebounds 49.3 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.9
Turnovers 11.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.0
Steals 5.3 6.2
Fouls 17.4 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL IND
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 105.4
% of Possessions with MIL IND
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 30.1%
Player Fouled 18.8% 16.6%
Turnover 11.1% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL IND
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 22.0%