NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL IND
Points 120.1 121.1
Total Points   241.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.7 66.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 38.5
Points From Free Throws 21.6 16.0
Shooting MIL IND
Field Goals Made 43.6 46.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 93.0
Field Goal % 50.0% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 33.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.3 57.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 21.6 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 20.7
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.2%
Ball Control MIL IND
Rebounds 49.2 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.9
Turnovers 11.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.9
Steals 5.3 6.1
Fouls 17.2 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL IND
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 104.8
% of Possessions with MIL IND
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 30.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 16.6%
Turnover 11.1% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL IND
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.1%