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Milwaukee at Indiana
Sun Apr 28, 2024
7:00pm ET
Indianapolis, IN
Milwaukee at Indiana: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Indiana by 10, Total Points: 214.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-49-1 | 51-42-3 | |
| vs Division | 8-15-0 | 14-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 28-29-1 | 37-27-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 21-22-1 | 26-19-2 | |
| Away | 17-27-0 | 25-23-1 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Indiana | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 04/28 | Away | Indiana | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 04/30 | Home | Indiana | +5.0 | W by 23 | +28.0 |
| 05/02 | Away | Indiana | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
Indiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Washington | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Cleveland | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Chicago | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Boston | +13.0 | L by 51 | -38.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 41 | +32.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Utah | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Atlanta | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Toronto | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Milwaukee | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Washington | -8.0 | L by 14 | -22.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 24 | -20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Memphis | +2.0 | L by 13 | -11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | New York | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.0 | W by 9 | +17.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 34 | +31.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Boston | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | W by 18 | +24.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 27 | -20.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Phoenix | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | New York | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Houston | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Golden State | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New York | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Charlotte | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Dallas | +2.0 | W by 22 | +24.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Toronto | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | San Antonio | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Orlando | (Pick) | W by 14 | +14.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Cleveland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 19 | +8.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Golden State | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 26 | -29.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Okla City | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Atlanta | -13.5 | W by 42 | +28.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 17 | +18.0 |
| 04/26 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 04/28 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 04/30 | Away | Milwaukee | -5.0 | L by 23 | -28.0 |
| 05/02 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 05/06 | Away | New York | +6.0 | L by 4 | +2.0 |
| 05/08 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 05/10 | Home | New York | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 05/12 | Home | New York | -6.0 | W by 32 | +26.0 |
| 05/14 | Away | New York | +1.5 | L by 30 | -28.5 |
| 05/17 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 05/19 | Away | New York | +2.5 | W by 21 | +23.5 |
| IND -10.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 631 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9 to 11 points. In these games:
- The team like Indiana won the game 500 times (79.2%).
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 131 times (20.8%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 322-289-20 (52.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 83 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 44-37-2 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 04/28 07:07 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 07:04 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:58 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:57 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/28 06:52 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:40 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:37 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:28 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:19 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:16 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:12 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/28 06:07 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 06:04 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 05:28 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 05:16 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 05:01 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 04:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 04:34 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 04:13 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 04:10 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 03:58 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/28 03:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 03:40 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 03:30 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 04/28 01:52 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:58 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:43 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:37 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:22 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:01 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 11:49 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 11:38 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/28 11:34 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 11:31 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 11:13 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 10:07 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 09:22 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 08:58 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 07:32 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 05:01 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/28 12:41 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 11:45 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 11:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 08:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 05:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 02:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 02:01 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 01:55 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 01:37 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 01:10 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 01:04 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 01:01 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 12:50 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 04/27 12:46 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 12:43 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 09:32 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 04/27 09:22 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 08:22 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/27 08:07 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:58 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 04/26 09:55 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:52 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 04/26 09:49 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 04/26 09:25 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:22 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/26 09:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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