NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL OKC
Points 112.8 118.1
Total Points   230.9
Points From 2-Pointers 50.1 61.5
Points From 3-Pointers 43.8 39.3
Points From Free Throws 18.9 17.4
Shooting MIL OKC
Field Goals Made 39.6 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 90.3
Field Goal % 45.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.0 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 39.3 34.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 18.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 21.2
Free Throw % 78.0% 81.8%
Ball Control MIL OKC
Rebounds 50.3 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.5
Turnovers 13.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.6
Steals 5.9 7.0
Fouls 17.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL OKC
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 102.2
% of Possessions with MIL OKC
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.4%
Turnover 12.9% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL OKC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 19.7%