NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI PHI
Points 111.5 113.7
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.1 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 41.0
Points From Free Throws 18.5 20.1
Shooting CHI PHI
Field Goals Made 41.0 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 86.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 49.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 18.5 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 24.5
Free Throw % 79.2% 81.9%
Ball Control CHI PHI
Rebounds 50.1 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 11.9
Turnovers 11.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.7
Steals 6.0 6.5
Fouls 16.8 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI PHI
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 100.7
% of Possessions with CHI PHI
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 32.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.9%
Turnover 11.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI PHI
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 24.5%