NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MEM
Points 114.4 107.3
Total Points   221.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 44.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 17.4
Shooting CHI MEM
Field Goals Made 42.5 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 86.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 41.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 22.7
Free Throw % 79.3% 76.6%
Ball Control CHI MEM
Rebounds 51.0 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.3
Turnovers 12.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 6.2 5.7
Steals 7.9 6.9
Fouls 17.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MEM
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 99.3
% of Possessions with CHI MEM
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 35.7%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.1%
Turnover 12.2% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MEM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 24.2%