NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MEM
Points 114.3 107.2
Total Points   221.5
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 43.8
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.4
Shooting CHI MEM
Field Goals Made 42.4 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 86.2
Field Goal % 47.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 41.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.6%
Ball Control CHI MEM
Rebounds 51.1 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.4
Turnovers 12.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 6.2 5.7
Steals 7.8 6.9
Fouls 17.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MEM
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 99.3
% of Possessions with CHI MEM
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 35.7%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.2%
Turnover 12.2% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MEM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 24.3%