NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ATL
Points 121.5 117.9
Total Points   239.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 46.1
Points From Free Throws 17.2 19.1
Shooting CHI ATL
Field Goals Made 45.8 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 89.2
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 48.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 15.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 41.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.2 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 24.4
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.3%
Ball Control CHI ATL
Rebounds 48.7 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.9
Turnovers 11.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.1
Steals 7.3 6.1
Fouls 17.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ATL
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 103.4
% of Possessions with CHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 34.9%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.0%
Turnover 11.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ATL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 25.9%