NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ATL
Points 121.4 117.4
Total Points   238.8
Points From 2-Pointers 66.1 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 45.6
Points From Free Throws 17.4 19.0
Shooting CHI ATL
Field Goals Made 45.7 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 89.2
Field Goal % 50.6% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 48.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 41.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 17.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.3%
Ball Control CHI ATL
Rebounds 48.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 13.0
Turnovers 11.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.1
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 17.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ATL
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 103.4
% of Possessions with CHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 34.9%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.2%
Turnover 11.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ATL
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 25.9%