NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI SAC
Points 112.2 116.6
Total Points   228.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 52.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.1 47.5
Points From Free Throws 18.0 16.4
Shooting CHI SAC
Field Goals Made 41.2 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 88.3
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 45.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 42.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 18.0 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.0
Free Throw % 79.3% 74.6%
Ball Control CHI SAC
Rebounds 47.7 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.9
Turnovers 11.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.1
Steals 7.0 6.5
Fouls 17.0 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI SAC
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 101.4
% of Possessions with CHI SAC
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 37.0%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.7%
Turnover 11.3% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI SAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 24.4%