NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NY
Points 111.4 114.4
Total Points   225.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.5 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 45.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.0
Shooting CHI NY
Field Goals Made 41.9 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 86.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.2 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 56.0 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 15.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 23.2
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.4%
Ball Control CHI NY
Rebounds 46.9 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 13.9
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.2
Steals 6.2 6.1
Fouls 17.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NY
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 100.6
% of Possessions with CHI NY
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 34.5%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.5%
Turnover 11.0% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NY
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 28.6%