NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI LAL
Points 114.0 117.6
Total Points   231.6
Points From 2-Pointers 62.5 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 39.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 19.1
Shooting CHI LAL
Field Goals Made 43.7 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 94.1 83.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.8 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 24.6
Free Throw % 79.3% 77.5%
Ball Control CHI LAL
Rebounds 48.1 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.5
Turnovers 10.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.5
Steals 7.8 5.9
Fouls 18.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI LAL
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 98.1
% of Possessions with CHI LAL
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 30.6%
Player Fouled 13.5% 17.7%
Turnover 10.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI LAL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 19.3%