NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NO
Points 110.5 114.7
Total Points   225.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 56.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 40.5
Points From Free Throws 16.1 18.1
Shooting CHI NO
Field Goals Made 41.1 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 85.2
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.7 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 16.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 23.4
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.6%
Ball Control CHI NO
Rebounds 46.6 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.0
Turnovers 11.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.2
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 16.8 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NO
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 98.7
% of Possessions with CHI NO
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 31.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 16.8%
Turnover 11.5% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.7%