NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NO
Points 114.8 113.6
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 66.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 28.1
Points From Free Throws 13.2 19.0
Shooting CHI NO
Field Goals Made 43.9 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 86.9
Field Goal % 49.0% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 33.2
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 26.2
Free Throw % 78.9% 72.7%
Ball Control CHI NO
Rebounds 46.7 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 37.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.9
Turnovers 13.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.4
Steals 6.2 8.0
Fouls 18.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NO
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 102.0
% of Possessions with CHI NO
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 23.8%
Player Fouled 14.5% 17.8%
Turnover 13.0% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 22.6%