NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI TOR
Points 120.5 112.6
Total Points   233.1
Points From 2-Pointers 67.6 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 38.3
Points From Free Throws 15.9 17.5
Shooting CHI TOR
Field Goals Made 46.1 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 87.6
Field Goal % 50.1% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 22.9
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.6%
Ball Control CHI TOR
Rebounds 50.7 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.4
Turnovers 11.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.2
Steals 7.0 6.4
Fouls 16.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI TOR
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 100.6
% of Possessions with CHI TOR
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 31.5%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.3%
Turnover 11.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI TOR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 23.4%