NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI SA
Points 114.2 113.0
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 65.6 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 42.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.2
Shooting CHI SA
Field Goals Made 43.8 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 87.8
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 62.6 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.9
Free Throw % 79.3% 77.6%
Ball Control CHI SA
Rebounds 49.6 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.2
Turnovers 10.8 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.7
Steals 8.5 5.8
Fouls 16.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI SA
Total Possessions 102.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 100.2
% of Possessions with CHI SA
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 34.2%
Player Fouled 14.7% 15.9%
Turnover 10.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI SA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.9%