NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI PHO
Points 111.1 116.4
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 41.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 19.7
Shooting CHI PHO
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 83.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 58.7 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 16.5 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 24.3
Free Throw % 79.3% 80.9%
Ball Control CHI PHO
Rebounds 46.7 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 10.6
Turnovers 10.2 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 5.1
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 18.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI PHO
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 97.6
% of Possessions with CHI PHO
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 31.5%
Player Fouled 16.0% 18.0%
Turnover 10.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI PHO
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 24.0%