NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI OKC
Points 110.4 120.5
Total Points   230.9
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.6 44.0
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.6
Shooting CHI OKC
Field Goals Made 40.2 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 90.3 86.7
Field Goal % 44.5% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.7
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 37.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.6
Free Throw % 79.2% 82.2%
Ball Control CHI OKC
Rebounds 49.2 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.4
Turnovers 12.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 6.0
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 17.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI OKC
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 99.6
% of Possessions with CHI OKC
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 32.9%
Player Fouled 16.2% 17.4%
Turnover 12.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI OKC
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 20.9%