NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE MIL
Points 111.6 113.7
Total Points   225.3
Points From 2-Pointers 56.1 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.1 41.8
Points From Free Throws 15.4 17.5
Shooting CLE MIL
Field Goals Made 41.4 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 85.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.1 49.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.6 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.5
Free Throw % 75.7% 78.0%
Ball Control CLE MIL
Rebounds 47.9 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 39.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.9
Turnovers 10.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 6.3 6.3
Fouls 16.2 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE MIL
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 99.1
% of Possessions with CLE MIL
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.3% 16.1%
Turnover 10.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE MIL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 20.8%