NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE CHI
Points 112.3 110.2
Total Points   222.5
Points From 2-Pointers 50.9 59.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.8 34.6
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.1
Shooting CLE CHI
Field Goals Made 40.4 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 88.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 29.8
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 40.5 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 20.3
Free Throw % 76.2% 79.3%
Ball Control CLE CHI
Rebounds 47.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.6
Turnovers 12.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.8
Steals 6.1 7.5
Fouls 15.5 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE CHI
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.4 100.3
% of Possessions with CLE CHI
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 27.8%
Player Fouled 17.6% 15.6%
Turnover 12.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE CHI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 23.7%