NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE BOS
Points 103.3 114.4
Total Points   217.7
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 47.6
Points From Free Throws 12.0 15.4
Shooting CLE BOS
Field Goals Made 39.2 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 87.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 15.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.4 41.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 12.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 19.2
Free Throw % 75.9% 80.1%
Ball Control CLE BOS
Rebounds 47.2 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 40.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 11.4
Turnovers 10.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 6.0
Steals 5.3 6.3
Fouls 14.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE BOS
Total Possessions 97.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.2 98.7
% of Possessions with CLE BOS
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 37.1%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.1%
Turnover 11.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE BOS
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 24.1%