NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE BOS
Points 106.6 116.3
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 51.6 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 42.5 49.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.2
Shooting CLE BOS
Field Goals Made 39.9 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 88.5
Field Goal % 43.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 25.8 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 47.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 16.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.5 41.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.2
Free Throw % 76.1% 79.1%
Ball Control CLE BOS
Rebounds 48.6 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 40.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.4
Turnovers 11.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 6.3
Steals 5.5 6.6
Fouls 14.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE BOS
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 100.0
% of Possessions with CLE BOS
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 36.7%
Player Fouled 14.7% 14.4%
Turnover 11.2% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE BOS
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.7%