NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE LAC
Points 110.7 112.1
Total Points   222.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.8 37.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 17.9
Shooting CLE LAC
Field Goals Made 40.7 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 85.3
Field Goal % 46.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.4 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 15.7 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.5
Free Throw % 76.1% 83.5%
Ball Control CLE LAC
Rebounds 46.8 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.8
Turnovers 11.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 15.7 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE LAC
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 97.9
% of Possessions with CLE LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.1% 15.9%
Turnover 11.8% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE LAC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 23.4%