NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE ATL
Points 119.6 113.6
Total Points   233.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.0 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.4 40.5
Points From Free Throws 16.2 17.8
Shooting CLE ATL
Field Goals Made 44.5 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 89.6
Field Goal % 50.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 22.7
Free Throw % 75.8% 78.3%
Ball Control CLE ATL
Rebounds 48.2 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 13.0
Turnovers 12.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.4
Steals 6.9 6.9
Fouls 16.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE ATL
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 102.9
% of Possessions with CLE ATL
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 30.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 15.9%
Turnover 12.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE ATL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 25.7%