NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE CHA
Points 114.3 104.2
Total Points   218.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.6 53.4
Points From 3-Pointers 42.9 36.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.1
Shooting CLE CHA
Field Goals Made 42.6 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 85.2
Field Goal % 49.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.4 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.8
Free Throw % 76.1% 78.9%
Ball Control CLE CHA
Rebounds 49.6 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.3
Turnovers 12.6 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.2
Steals 6.4 6.6
Fouls 14.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE CHA
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.2 95.6
% of Possessions with CLE CHA
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.0%
Turnover 12.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE CHA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 19.4%