NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE NY
Points 109.1 110.0
Total Points   219.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 39.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.7
Shooting CLE NY
Field Goals Made 40.4 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 87.5
Field Goal % 47.6% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.6
Free Throw % 75.8% 77.3%
Ball Control CLE NY
Rebounds 46.4 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 14.2
Turnovers 12.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.5
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 15.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE NY
Total Possessions 97.8
Effective Scoring Chances 96.5 100.4
% of Possessions with CLE NY
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 30.3%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.2%
Turnover 12.5% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE NY
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.5%