NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE ORL
Points 104.9 105.6
Total Points   210.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 32.4
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.3
Shooting CLE ORL
Field Goals Made 38.6 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 81.9 82.5
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 49.2 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.7 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.1
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.1%
Ball Control CLE ORL
Rebounds 44.7 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.7
Turnovers 13.6 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.9
Steals 7.3 7.6
Fouls 17.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE ORL
Total Possessions 98.6
Effective Scoring Chances 94.2 97.0
% of Possessions with CLE ORL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.1%
Turnover 13.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE ORL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 24.7%