NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE DAL
Points 109.8 113.0
Total Points   222.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.7 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 41.4
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.8
Shooting CLE DAL
Field Goals Made 40.3 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 86.4
Field Goal % 46.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 22.3
Free Throw % 75.7% 75.3%
Ball Control CLE DAL
Rebounds 48.9 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 10.5
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.1
Steals 6.6 6.4
Fouls 17.5 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE DAL
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 99.6
% of Possessions with CLE DAL
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 33.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.4%
Turnover 12.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE DAL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 21.7%