NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE DET
Points 117.1 107.0
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.4 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 33.5
Points From Free Throws 17.7 16.7
Shooting CLE DET
Field Goals Made 43.3 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 86.5
Field Goal % 50.4% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.7 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 21.3
Free Throw % 76.1% 78.3%
Ball Control CLE DET
Rebounds 47.8 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.0
Turnovers 11.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.4
Steals 7.9 6.5
Fouls 14.8 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE DET
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 98.9
% of Possessions with CLE DET
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 14.6%
Turnover 11.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE DET
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 22.5%