NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE DET
Points 116.5 106.9
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 37.1 33.6
Points From Free Throws 17.6 16.8
Shooting CLE DET
Field Goals Made 43.3 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 86.4
Field Goal % 50.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.1 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 31.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.6 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 21.5
Free Throw % 75.8% 78.3%
Ball Control CLE DET
Rebounds 47.6 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.2
Turnovers 11.6 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.4
Steals 7.9 6.3
Fouls 14.9 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE DET
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 98.9
% of Possessions with CLE DET
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.4%
Player Fouled 18.3% 14.7%
Turnover 11.4% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE DET
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 22.7%