NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE TOR
Points 118.6 109.0
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 61.5 58.8
Points From 3-Pointers 42.3 34.0
Points From Free Throws 14.7 16.2
Shooting CLE TOR
Field Goals Made 44.9 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 88.0
Field Goal % 50.4% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.8 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.0 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.2
Free Throw % 75.7% 76.6%
Ball Control CLE TOR
Rebounds 49.8 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.4
Turnovers 12.7 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.5
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 15.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE TOR
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 100.1
% of Possessions with CLE TOR
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 28.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 15.1%
Turnover 12.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE TOR
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 22.9%