NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE TOR
Points 118.8 109.2
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.2 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 34.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.2
Shooting CLE TOR
Field Goals Made 44.8 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 87.9
Field Goal % 50.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.8 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.1
Free Throw % 76.2% 76.6%
Ball Control CLE TOR
Rebounds 49.7 45.8
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.2
Turnovers 12.7 12.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.5
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 15.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE TOR
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 100.0
% of Possessions with CLE TOR
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 28.0%
Player Fouled 16.7% 15.1%
Turnover 12.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE TOR
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 22.8%