NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE HOU
Points 112.9 111.8
Total Points   224.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 38.1
Points From Free Throws 18.6 17.8
Shooting CLE HOU
Field Goals Made 40.8 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 89.2
Field Goal % 47.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 49.0 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.6 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 23.2
Free Throw % 76.2% 76.8%
Ball Control CLE HOU
Rebounds 49.7 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.6
Steals 6.6 7.3
Fouls 16.6 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE HOU
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 102.7
% of Possessions with CLE HOU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.3%
Turnover 12.3% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE HOU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 24.4%