NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE SA
Points 113.5 109.5
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 60.2 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.6 37.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.0
Shooting CLE SA
Field Goals Made 43.0 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 88.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.3
Free Throw % 76.1% 77.6%
Ball Control CLE SA
Rebounds 49.2 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 11.2
Turnovers 12.2 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 6.1
Steals 8.0 6.7
Fouls 14.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE SA
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 99.9
% of Possessions with CLE SA
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 15.2% 14.6%
Turnover 11.9% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE SA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 22.6%