NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHI
Points 117.3 107.0
Total Points   224.3
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 52.7
Points From 3-Pointers 46.8 38.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.5
Shooting BOS PHI
Field Goals Made 42.2 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 93.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 57.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 15.6 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 18.9
Free Throw % 79.1% 82.0%
Ball Control BOS PHI
Rebounds 54.2 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 41.2 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 13.6
Turnovers 11.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 7.6 4.7
Steals 5.3 5.9
Fouls 14.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Boston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHI
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 103.2
% of Possessions with BOS PHI
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.7% 14.2%
Turnover 11.2% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 24.8%